Stolen Election? Here’s the Mathematical Evidence

Stolen Election? Here's the Mathematical Evidence
Image credit to TheBlueDiamondGallery.com.



President Trump does not plan to concede even if the media declares Joe Biden, the winner of the election and elected the 46th president of the United States, according to CBS News. The Trump campaign has filed several lawsuits on the grounds that the ongoing vote count would result in the counting of illegally cast ballots.

On Thursday, many reporters had asked during press conferences in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Michigan for evidence of the alleged wide-scale problems that occurred.

But if it’s just mathematical evidence that the people are looking for, there’s a lot of it anywhere.

Wisconsin and Michigan Statistical Impossibilities

In Wisconsin, voter turnout reached the record high of 2004. The estimated voting-age population is used as the denominator by the Wisconsin Elections Commission when calculating the statewide voter turnout numbers. According to the Elections Commission, there was a 73% turnout in Wisconsin during this election.

In 2016, turnout was at 67%, 70% in 2012, 69% in 2008, and 73% in 2004.

In both Michigan and Wisconsin, multiple vote dumps occurred at roughly 4 am on Wednesday, which showed that Joe Biden, all of a sudden, received almost 100 percent of the new votes. President Trump was leading by hundreds of thousands of votes before America went to sleep, but that changed when America woke.



According to the New York Times, with absentee ballots, Democratic candidate Joe Biden was up by 60 points in Pennsylvania and almost 40 points in Michigan. In most of the other battleground states, Biden was up by only single digits in absentee voting.

No election official in Michigan or Wisconsin could explain the sudden vote tally increase in both states on Wednesday morning. Michigan Department of State spokesperson Aneta Kiersnowski was asked how this occurred, and she told the reporters: “We cannot speculate as to why the results lean one way or another.”

According to NBC News, on election day before the polls were opened, Republicans were leading 41% to 39% in Mail-in Ballots requested. The Republicans also led by 42% to 39% with mail-in and in-person ballots returned.

In Wisconsin, on the other hand, Republicans led the mail-in ballots requested 43% to 35%, and mail-in and early in-person ballots returned 43% to 35%. Despite that, almost all of the ballots counted while most Americans were sleeping were for Joe Biden.



In Arizona, where there was only a narrow gap between Trump and Biden, some analysts had predicted that the state might flip back to Trump, as the Republicans led there as well on election daw.

Republicans led in mail-in ballots requested and mail-in and early in-person ballots returned by an even more significant percentage in Georgia than Arizona.

The increase in the Democrats’ side compared to the Republicans was significantly higher when the Democrats were doing worse in the early counting. Within each ward, late votes broke heavily to the Dems in exactly the races where they are likely to affect the result.

Pennsylvania Fast Ballots

In Pennsylvania, ballots seemed to be arriving before they were even sent out, as they arrived on the same day or just one day after being mailed out. A data analyst explains that there are so-called “fast traveling” ballots appearing.

The data analyst plotted BallottSentDate vs. BallotReturnedDate and added (BallotSentDate vs. BallotSentDate) on the same plot. The graph gave a straight line (1:1), which means that everything below this line traveled back in time.

If only looking at those “suspicious” mail-in ballots — most of them came from Philadelphia and Lehigh — roughly 44%.

OLMAILV stands for a mail ballot application submitted online, while MAILIN stands for a mail-in ballot application.  If you look at the graph closely, ‘suspicious’ ballots have a higher ratio of Mail-In compared to Online than regular ballots.

Sworn Affidavits and Fraud Testimonies

On Sunday, a new elections lawsuit was filed in Michigan that alleges massive voter fraud in vote-counting procedures in Wayne County, a Democratic stronghold and home to the city of Detroit.

 Witnesses filed sworn affidavits under oath and said that Wayne County elections officials encouraged fraud, including changing legal names and dates on ballots, ballot-harvesting, voter intimidation, and preventing poll watchers from challenging irregularities in the vote-counting process.

“This type of widespread fraud in the counting and processing of voter ballots cannot be allowed to stand. Michigan citizens are entitled to know that their elections are conducted in a fair and legal manner and that every legal vote is properly counted,” said David A. Kallman, an attorney with the Great Lakes Justice Center.

Other sworn testaments from Detroit indicate that several boxes of ballots were brought in through the back door of the TCF Center at 9 pm on Wednesday. Election rules clearly state that all ballots need to be input into the system by 9 pm on Tuesday. However, the election workers still input the entire batch into the QVF system and manually added each voter to the list after 9 pm.

The sworn affidavit states that the vast majority of these ballots were from people that were born on January 1st, 1900.  This would make the ‘voters’ all almost 121 years old. 

One sworn affidavit from Detroit indicates the date of 1/1/1900 was likely a birthdate that was input into the system for other names in the qualified voter file who were not voting this election.

A different part of the statement claims that election workers assigned ballots to random names in the Qualified Voter File to people who did not vote in this year’s election. The statement alleges that the election workers used false information in order to be able to process the absentee ballots.

“Election workers assigned ballots to random names already in the QVF to a person who had not voted. Defendants systematically used false information to process absentee ballots, such as using incorrect or false birthdays. Many times the election workers inserted new names into the QVF after the election and recorded these new voters as having a birthdate of 1/1/1900.”

Enthusiasm Gap

Joe Biden under-performed in many major cities compared to Hillary Clinton in 2016. In New York City, Chicago, and Miami, he was down 201,408, 260,835, and 6,945 respectively.

However, in the states Biden needed to overtake Trump in 2020, he gained massively.  According to the Associated Press vote total data, in Atlanta, Milwaukee, and Pittsburg, he was up 76,518, 67,630, and 29,150 respectively.

According to the polls, the difference in enthusiasm for both candidates is significant. Trump led 52.9% to 45% among the 51.2% of registered Rust Belt voters who say they are “Extremely Enthusiastic” about voting for their preferred candidate. Among likely voters who are extremely enthusiastic, the president enjoys a double-digit advantage of 60.5% to 44.9%.

The difference between the two is that less than half of Joe Biden’s supporters, (46.9%) said they were voting for him because they like the candidate. Approximately 8 in 10 voted for President Trump because they wanted him as President.

Chaos in Pennsylvania

In Pennsylvania, Trump had led by almost 800,000 votes on election night after most people went to bed. But in three days, his lead shrunk to less than 95,000 votes before Joe Biden ultimately took the lead.

Over the following days, batches of votes started flowing into the final tally, mostly in favor of Joe Biden. Five Thirty-Eight reported recently that “Two more batches of Pennsylvania votes were reported: 23,277 votes in Philadelphia, all for Biden”

“Based on the Party distribution of the ballots cast in each county, we believe that 75% of the remaining ballots will go to Joe Biden,” state Senator Sharif Street wrote in a statement. “We project Biden will win by about 175,000 votes.”

Biden then led Pennsylvania by a few thousand votes.

A mail carrier in Pennsylvania said in a sworn affidavit that he was ordered to collect and submit late ballots. He said supervisors then backdated them so that they appeared to be mailed in time.

“Postmaster Rob Weisenbach directed my co-workers and I to pick up ballots after Election Day and provide them to him,” Mr. Hopkins said in an affidavit. “As discussed more fully below, I heard Weisenbach tell a supervisor at my office that Weisenbach was back-dating the postmarks on the ballots to make it appear as though the ballots had been collected on November 3, 2020, despite them in fact being collected on November 4 and possibly later.”

Confirmed Errors

Arizona

According to Politico, an error was found in Edison Research data in Arizona that showed 98% of the votes had been counted in Arizona when really only 84% had been counted. Officials proceeded to correct this mistake once it was pointed out.

Georgia

In Georgia, Voters were unable to cast machine ballots for a couple of hours in Morgan and Spalding counties after the electronic devices crashed, state officials said.

Elections Supervisor Marcia Ridley at Spalding County Board of Elections said that the companies “uploaded something last night, which is not normal, and it caused a glitch.” That glitch prevented poll workers from using the poll books to program smart cards that the voters insert into the voting machines.

“That is something that they don’t ever do. I’ve never seen them update anything the day before the election,” Ridley said.

Michigan

Meanwhile, in Antrim County, Michigan, initial votes showed Biden ahead of Trump by 20 points. When NY Times journalist Ben Rothenberg pointed this out on Twitter, they corrected it and called it an error.

Still in Michigan, in Oakland County’s 15th county commission district, a fixed computer glitch turned a losing Republican into a winner. A computer error led election officials in Oakland County to hand an upset victory on Wednesday to a Democrat, only to switch the win back to the Republican a day later.

The Republican, Adam Kochenderfer, appeared to lose by a few hundred votes, which seemed odd to many in his campaign.  After the apparent computer error was found and fixed, Kochenderfer ended up winning by over 1,000 votes.

Benford’s Law Violation

Some data analysts and scientists claimed that Joe Biden’s vote tallies in some parts of the country violate Benford’s Law. According to them, all other candidates’ tallies follow the law except for Biden in some tight races.

Benford’s law is an accepted test for catching election fraud, and it’s used by the State Department and forensic accountants.

Walter Mebane shared his opinion on the second digit analysis in a paper. According to him, Fulton County, Georgia has inconsistent second digits for Democrats, but he did not provide a statistical analysis because he lacked precinct data.

He also mentioned that Chicago was inconsistent, while Milwaukee County and Allegheny County were consistent with Benford’s law.

His final verdict regarding the election is that analysts “should await the final production of completed vote counts and should draw on additional information about election processes that go beyond mere vote count data.”

Senate and House Races Compared

Some people have taken a look at ballot numbers in important states with no down-ballot votes, versus states that are not swing states, and noticed an odd trend.

In Michigan, Trump received 2,637,173 votes, while the Republican Senate candidate received 2,630,042 votes. The difference here is only 7,131 which is not far off from what we see historically. In the same state, Joe Biden received 2,787,544 votes, while the Democratic Senate candidate received 2,718,451. The difference is 69,093 votes which is much higher than the historical norm.

But it’s even worse in Georgia. President Trump gained 2,432,799 votes, while the Republican Senate candidate tallied 2,433,617 votes. The difference was only 818 votes. Joe Biden in contrast gained 2,414,651 votes, while his Democratic Senate candidate tallied 2,318,850 votes.  This is a difference of 95,801 votes.

Ballots After Election Day

On Wednesday, a federal judge said that he might call Postmaster General Louis DeJoy to testify about why the United States Postal Service missed a deadline to sweep locations in several states for left behind mail-in ballots.

The order was issued by US District Judge Emmet G. Sullivan, and it was meant to trigger sweeps of facilities in six battleground states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Texas, Arizona, and Florida.

“Now you can tell your clients this in no uncertain terms,” Sullivan said in a Wednesday hearing. “I am not pleased about this 11th-hour development last night. You can tell your clients that someone may have a price to pay for that.”

On Wednesday, the Supreme Court let election officials in Pennsylvania and North Carolina accept absentee ballots for several days after Election day.

In Pennsylvania, the court refused a plea from Republicans that the court decide before election day whether the election officials can continue receiving absentee ballots until November 12.

In North Carolina, the court allowed the state’s board of elections to extend the deadline to nine days after election day, up from the three days that had originally been called for by the state legislature.

The court, at Trump’s request, recently issued an interim order to election boards to set aside certain mail ballots that lack identifying information for the voter, and to not count those votes until after the court rules further.

Thousands Of Confirmed Deceased

An observer noticed something odd about the names on the ballots in Michigan. Upon looking closer, one particular name off the list that was confirmed to have cast a ballot happened to be born in 1902 and passed away in 1984.

Over 14,000 dead people have been confirmed to have voted in Detroit or were registered to vote.

Another poll watcher was later kicked out for taking photographs of something he noticed in a list of Michigan residents who have also been confirmed to have cast their ballots.  All of the names on the list he reviewed show their birthdate in chronological order. It turns out that there are many voters born in the early 1900’s.

A lawsuit was filed by the Public Interest Legal Foundation (PILF) which alleges that there are at least 21,000 dead people on Pennsylvania’s voter rolls.

“As of October 7, 2020, at least 9,212 registrants have been dead for at least five years, at least 1,990 registrants have been dead for at least ten years, and at least 197 registrants have been dead for at least twenty years,” the lawsuit states.

“Pennsylvania still left the names of more than 21,000 dead individuals on the voter rolls less than a month before one of the most consequential general elections for federal officeholders in many years,” the lawsuit continues.

According to the lawsuit, about 92% of the 21,000 dead people in Pennsylvania died sometime before October 2019.

Hundreds of Thousands of Illegal Ballots

According to CBS LA, Ellen Swensen who is with the Election Integrity Project California says that they found more than 277,000 suspicious ballots mailed this election year in L.A. County before election day.

It includes more than 4,800 duplicate ballots mailed to the same person, and 728 ballots mailed to people who likely have died. In 2016, their investigation found many dead voters still registered. Now four years later, there are more.

In October, Judicial Watch released a study comparing the Census Bureau population statistics and state voter registration data to reveal a notable disparity.

The study found that 352 U.S. counties in 29 states managed to have 1.8 million more registered voters than eligible voting-age citizens.

“In other words, the registration rates of those counties exceeded 100% of eligible voters. The study found eight states showing state-wide registration rates exceeding 100% including Michigan.

Milwaukee recently ‘updated’ its voting data for its wards after a newspaper pointed out 7 wards had more votes than registered voters.  Some voter turnouts originally showed higher than 200%.

In Nevada, lawsuits are ongoing concerning over 3,000 individuals who have cast their ballot illegally in the election.

A Letter from lawyers to Attorney General Bill Barr, which included 60 pages voter records, stated that they have identified 3,062 individuals who appear to have improperly cast a mail in ballot in the election. We verified this by cross referencing the names and addresses of voters with National Change of Address database.”

— Catherine Herridge of CBS News