According to Genevieve Briand, the assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Johns Hopkins University, the impact of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States can be understood by comparing it to the number of total deaths in the country.
According to the study published by Johns Hopkins University on November 22, “in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.”
Unsurprisingly, the study was deleted within days.
Thanks to some quick thinking, a back-up copy remains on The Wayback Machine, and we can still read the study.
According to the study, COVID-19 has had “relatively no effect on deaths” because:
According to Briand, “The reason we have a higher number of reported COVID-19 deaths among older individuals than younger individuals is simply that every day in the U.S. older individuals die in higher numbers than younger individuals.”
Briand’s analysis found that the range of deaths amongst the older population has remained within the range of past years. So, if COVID-19 has actually had no significant impact on deaths in the United States, why does it not appear that way?
“This is true every year,” explained Briand. “Every year in the U.S., when we observe the seasonal ups and downs, we have an increase in deaths due to all causes.”
The study found that “This trend is completely contrary to the pattern observed in all previous years.” In fact, “the total decrease in deaths by other causes almost exactly equals the increase in deaths by COVID-19.”
After her analysis, Briand concluded that the COVID-19 death toll in the United States is misleading and that deaths from other diseases are categorized as COVID-19 deaths even though they aren’t.
On Thursday, Johns Hopkins University explained that they deleted the article on the study because it “was being used to support false and dangerous inaccuracies about the impact of the pandemic.”